U.S. spot bitcoin (BTC) ETFs have recorded approximately
Michael Saylor, Chairman of the largest listed bitcoin holder Strategy (MSTR), stated that "IBIT will be the biggest ETF in the world in ten years." Saylor made the comments at the Bitcoin Standard Corporation’s Investor Day.
To put this into perspective, IBIT currently has a market capitalization of $54 billion and on Thursday over $1.5 billion in volume. In comparison, the largest ETF by market cap, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), boasts a market capitalization of $593.5 billion, more than ten times that of IBIT.
“It’s possible, especially if IBIT starts taking in more cash than VOO, but that would require inflows well north of $1 billion a day—more likely in the range of $3 to $4 billion daily, to gain ground. In short, some extraordinary things would have to happen, but it’s possible,” Balchunas noted.
Meanwhile, the annualized basis trade for bitcoin ETFs, investors going long the ETF and short the CME bitcoin futures, has risen to nearly 10%, up from 5% in early April. This increase, coupled with a 2,000 BTC rise in futures open interest over the past week, suggests that a portion of the net ETF inflows may not be purely directional bets, but part of the basis trade.