Quantum computing research firm Project Eleven has launched a competition to see just how much of a threat quantum computing currently poses to Bitcoin.
Launching the competition on April 16, Project Eleven
Project Eleven said the purpose of the “Q-Day Prize” is to test “how urgent the threat” of quantum is to Bitcoin and to find quantum-proof solutions to secure Bitcoin over the long term.
“10 million+ addresses have exposed public keys. Quantum computing is steadily progressing. Nobody has rigorously benchmarked this threat yet,” Project Eleven
More than 6 million Bitcoin — worth around $500 billion —
Participants can register as individuals or as a team and have until April 5, 2026, to complete the task. The prize winner will win 1 Bitcoin, currently worth $84,100.
The aim is to run Shor's algorithm on a
“The mission: break the largest ECC key possible using Shor's algorithm on a quantum computer. No classical shortcuts. No hybrid tricks. Pure quantum power,” Project Eleven said.
“You don't need to break a Bitcoin key. A 3-bit key would be big news,” it added.
No ECC key used in real-world applications has ever been cracked, noted Project Eleven, adding that the winner could “go down in cryptography history.”
Project Eleven noted that several online platforms offer quantum computing access, such as Amazon Web Services and IBM.
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Current estimates suggest that around 2,000 logical qubits (error-corrected) would be enough to break a 256-bit ECC key, Project Eleven noted.
IBM’s Heron chip and Google’s Willow can currently do 156 and 105 qubits —
Bitcoin cypherpunk Jameson Lopp recently
“I think it's far from a crisis, but given the difficulty in changing Bitcoin it's worth starting to seriously discuss,” Lopp said in a March 16 post.
In February, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino
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