Trump’s surprise ceasefire announcement between Iran and Israel sent BTC ▲3.71%
After dipping below $99K, BTC jumped nearly 3.6% on the news,
Moreover, conflicting reports remain whether the ceasefire is real, with some Iranian officials denying its legitimacy.
Trump took to Truth Social on Monday with an all-caps delivery of alleged peace in the Middle East: a “Complete and Total CEASEFIRE” between Israel and Iran, set to begin in six hours.
Confusion followed, but Reuters soon confirmed an Iranian official had signed on.
The market reaction was fast and decisive, with stock futures up, oil down $10 in hours, and Bitcoin riding the risk-on rebound. War is off the table for now.
It’s important to keep in mind, however, that the underlying motivations of what started this war are still there:
None of these motivations have been realized, so don’t be surprised if this isn’t the last we hear of this conflict this year… hopefully not [Knocks on wood].
Bitcoin staged a textbook V-shaped recovery on Tuesday, snapping its multi-day slide with rising volume. Support is holding at $102,800, with deeper footing near $101,800.
Resistance at $105,500 is holding for now as many, like us, are unsure if the ceasefire will hold. However, a golden cross at $102,850 confirms bulls are back in control, with both SMAs now sloping upward.
Bitcoin’s reaction underscores how tightly crypto now moves with the broader global machine: geopolitics, markets, momentum, all tied together.
Bitcoin’s setup checks the right boxes with a golden cross in place, recovery intact, and key support at $102.8K holding. The $105,500 mark remains the pivot. Break that, and $106,500 comes into view.
With the macro backdrop softening, BTC’s upside case gets stronger. The chart and the world both point the same way—for now.
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