Ethereum (ETH) is approaching a pivotal derivatives deadline as billions of dollars in options contracts near expiration, placing the $3,000 price level firmly in focus for traders. While traders are betting on a move higher, Ethereum’s near-term price action remains uncertain. The outcome of this options expiry could help shape ETH’s next big move, either to the upside or down to lower levels—particularly as investors reassess their expectations following .
The price of Ethereum is currently sitting above $2,900 as a massive options expiration worth roughly $6 billion approaches. This event is expected to play a major role in shaping and could influence investor sentiment heading into 2026.
Data from the derivatives platform Laevitas that $6 billion in will expire on Friday, 26 December, with call positions outnumbering puts by more than 2.2 times. Despite this imbalance, bears still hold the edge unless Ethereum’s price moves decisively above $3,100.
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Earlier this year, many traders had positioned for Ethereum to surge significantly by year-end. However, those were undermined by a massive November decline, leaving ETH’s current options expiry vulnerable to further downside pressure.
While call options still dominate , many of these positions would expire worthless if the and push higher. This creates a fragile setup and leaves the market in a delicate position, where overly optimistic bets could quickly unwind if key price levels do not hold.
Notably, the $3,100 price level has as a critical pivot ahead of the options expiration set for this Friday. Traders have called this level “max pain,” as it represents the price at which the most options contracts would expire worthless. A close below this zone could give and potentially open the door to further price declines. On the other hand, a clean break above $3,100 could flip momentum rapidly.
Presently, around $3.8 billion in ETH options are expected to expire on Deribit, the world’s largest Bitcoin and Ethereum options exchange. In addition, more than $23.6 billion in , potentially adding significant volatility to the already fragile market.
With the massive $6 billion Ethereum options expiry on the horizon, traders appear to be bracing for , as the event could trigger a sharp, decisive move in ETH’s price. Separately, crypto analyst Ted Pillows further volatility for ETH if its price moves in either of two key directions.
He says that Ethereum is currently in a no-trading zone; however, volatility could occur if the price reclaims the $3,000 level or retests the $2,700-$2,800 zone.